aerobriefEVAD Adazi · 24 Sep

← all days · generated Tue 22 Sep 20:10
Thursday 24 September · ALL DAY
09:00 - 18:00 · D+2, half-day confidence

Sunrise 07:10, sunset 19:17, on the ground by 18:17. Times are estimated (NOAA solar position) - AIP table not yet wired in.

Hour by hour

Crosswind is the mean across the three models; the last column gives each model separately so a disagreement is visible rather than averaged away. A gust marked (?) came from a run whose gust field is not physically plausible at that wind speed.

LocalVerdictBindingRwyHead ktCross kt Gust xwBase ftLow cldVis kmmm/hCrosswind by model
06:00no-godaylight331.72.64.012055%130ECMWF 1.4 / GFS 3.0 / ICON-EU 3.4
07:00no-godaylight331.52.04.028046%190ECMWF 1.1 / GFS 3.0 / ICON-EU 2.0
08:00poorceiling332.01.23.936037%240ECMWF 0.6 / GFS 2.9 / ICON-EU 0.1
09:00marginalceiling333.61.12.462737%270ECMWF 0.1 / GFS 2.4 / ICON-EU 0.6
10:00godaylight335.31.01.594744%290.0ECMWF 0.0 / GFS 2.1 / ICON-EU 0.8
11:00marginalceiling336.50.82.6125362%290.0ECMWF 0.2 / GFS 1.8 / ICON-EU 0.3
12:00marginalceiling337.00.50.4124066%160.6ECMWF 0.5 / GFS 0.3 / ICON-EU 0.8
13:00marginalceiling337.92.32.1140061%190.7ECMWF 0.7 / GFS 1.7 / ICON-EU 4.4
14:00godaylight338.33.34.0150760%120.7ECMWF 1.0 / GFS 3.3 / ICON-EU 5.5
15:00godaylight338.64.05.4162747%200.5ECMWF 1.3 / GFS 4.5 / ICON-EU 6.3
16:00marginalcrosswind338.54.87.7160051%160.5ECMWF 1.3 / GFS 6.4 / ICON-EU 6.7
17:00marginaldaylight338.95.47.3142754%161.2ECMWF 1.4 / GFS 5.9 / ICON-EU 8.9
18:00no-godaylight338.15.37.1126752%150.8ECMWF 1.6 / GFS 5.6 / ICON-EU 8.7
19:00no-godaylight336.85.57.1113345%221.0ECMWF 2.0 / GFS 4.5 / ICON-EU 10.2
20:00no-godaylight336.15.26.394742%250.6ECMWF 2.4 / GFS 3.6 / ICON-EU 9.7
21:00no-godaylight335.45.56.177342%230.6ECMWF 2.9 / GFS 3.9 / ICON-EU 9.7

The ceiling figure is an Espy estimate from the model temperature and dew point, read beside the low-cloud coverage. It is not a ceiling and it is not measured: no observation of the cloud base over EVAD exists anywhere. Treat 2000 ft as the figure to aim for and leave the final look to the day itself.